Wednesday, 1 March 2017

INVESTMENT ANALYSIS MANAGEMENT

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CASE STUDY 1                                                                            

Downloaded Data of Bank of Baroda and HDFC Bank from www.nseindia.com of last 11 years has been summarized as follows. You are required to analyze the data using appropriate statistical tools, interpret the results and provide necessary advice to the investors as research analyst.


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Sr.No
Date
Symbol
Price
Symbol
Sr.No
Date
Price










1
1-Apr-97
BANKBARODA
56.75
HDFCBANK
1
1-Apr-97
46.45










2
1-Apr-98
BANKBARODA
108.35
HDFCBANK
2
1-Apr-98
72.8










3
1-Apr-99
BANKBARODA
45
HDFCBANK
3
1-Apr-99
67.6










4
3-Apr-00
BANKBARODA
47.4
HDFCBANK
4
3-Apr-00
247.15










5
30-Mar-01
BANKBARODA
60.45
HDFCBANK
5
2-Apr-01
223.15










6
1-Apr-02
BANKBARODA
50.45
HDFCBANK
6
1-Apr-02
233.65










7
1-Apr-03
BANKBARODA
86.45
HDFCBANK
7
1-Apr-03
234.3










8
1-Apr-04
BANKBARODA
250.45
HDFCBANK
8
1-Apr-04
384.35










9
1-Apr-05
BANKBARODA
221.85
HDFCBANK
9
1-Apr-05
551.55










10
3-Apr-06
BANKBARODA
232.95
HDFCBANK
10
3-Apr-06
773.85










11
30-Mar-07
BANKBARODA
215.05
HDFCBANK
11
30-Mar-07
954.15













CASE STUDY 2                                                                                                     

Given below are the returns on the three stocks Supertex, Colourtex and Wivetex for a four year period. Compute the average returns, variance and standard deviation if a portfolio is constructed such that the stock has lowest standard deviation accounts for 50% of the funds, a stock having the next lowest standard deviation accounting for 30% and the third stock accounting for 20% of the funds.
Period ( Years)

Annual Returns (%)







Supertex
Colourtex

Wivetex





1
10
11

8





2
12
9

12





3
14
13

9





4
16
17

15








CASE STUDY 3




Pruthvi Hardware Ltd. Invested on 1-04-2006 in equity shares as below:-








Company
Number of Shares
Cost (Rs.)








Mafatlal .Ltd.
.1000 (Rs.100 Each)
2,00,000









Natraja Pencil Ltd.
500 (Rs.10 each)
1,50,000.










In September 2006, Mafatlal Ltd. Paid 10% dividend and in October, 2006 Nataraj Ltd. Paid 30% dividend. On 31-3-2007, market price of shares of Mafatlal Ltd. And Nataraj Ltd. Were Rs.220 and Rs.290 respectively.

Pruthvi Hardware ltd. have been informed by their investment advisor that :-


1)      Dividend s from Mafatlal L Ltd. And Nataraj Ltd. For the year ending 31-03-2008 are likely to be 20% and 35% respectively.

You are required to


1)      Calculate the average return from the portfolio for the year ended 31-03-2007.

2)      Advice P Ltd. Of the comparative risk of two investments by calculating the standard deviation in each case.


CASE STUDY 4                                                                                                

A) The following table provides details about three mutual fund portfolios. Find out the Sharpe, Treynor and Jensen Index and rank them. What are your suggestions to the investors?

(10 Marks)

Portfolio
Return on
Standard Deviation
Beta

Portfolio






Equity Fund
26
12
1.25




Mid Cap
40
10
0.80
Fund







Infra – Fund
24
14
1.40




Market Index
18

1.00




Risk Free Rate of Return : 6%




  1. The beta of Equity fund is higher than the Beta of Mid Cap fund but the returns are higher in Mid Cap Fund than Equity Fund. Do you agree with this statement? If yes, explain with reasonable examples.

  1. The beta of Infra – Fund is the highest among all three fund but the returns is the lowest among all three fund. Explain with reasonable examples.


B) Share of HDFC and BANK of Baroda display the following returns over the past two years:-



YEAR
HDFC
BANK OF BARODA



First Year
232
775



Second Year
215
955





1)      What is the expected return on a portfolio made up of 40% of Pepsi and 60% of Coca-Cola?

2)      What is the standard deviation of each share?

3)      What is the covariance of Share of Pepsi and Coca-Cola?

4)      What is the correlation coefficient?


5)      Interpret the results in each case and advice the investors for investment decision?

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